Put all my relevant statistics into an AI tool and here’s the result it came up with, should be interesting compared to mine
4:00 AINTREE
Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Class 1) – 4m 2f 74y – Good to Soft
Race Analysis Summary
My predicted finishing AI order:📌 ALL EW SELECTIONS
- 🔘I Am Maximus 15/2 Proven Grand National winner (2024) with top-class Aintree record; Authorized sire line now further boosted by the 2013-2025 GN fences data (3 wins from just 9 runs, 33.3% strike rate, +15.00 P/L – same sire as Tiger Roll)but has top weight
- 🔘Mr Vango 80/1 Strong recent Aintree form and stamina; dam’s sire Beneficial also features prominently in the GN fences stats (3 wins).
- 🔘Grangeclare West 10/1 Third last year, recent winner, and sired by Presenting (joint-top in the data with 3 GN fence wins).
Horse(s) that could outperform their odds (outside top 3):
🔘Jagwar 10/1 7yo (perfect age bracket), progressive chase form, recent Cheltenham efforts, weight 11-9 (close to ideal) and no previous GN run; fits more of the historical winner template than several bigger names.
🔘Stellar Story 28/1 Consistent recent RPRs and strong late-finishing style, though Shantou sire is not highlighted in the GN fences pedigree table.
Key positives that shaped the selection:
• Recent form at Aintree (strongest indicator) plus proven GN fences performers.
• Course & distance suitability – all three have explicit Aintree success on similar ground with “ran on strongly” comments.
• Weight and handicap – well treated on peak RPR vs current OR.
• Trainer form – W P Mullins dominant with high RTF% and strong 14-day record.
• Jockey statistics – top Aintree/National performers aboard.
• Rest days – comfortably inside the ideal 30-70 day window.
• Ground – best RPRs on GS/soft.
• Pedigree (new factor from provided data) – I Am Maximus (Authorized) and Grangeclare West (Presenting) both by sires with multiple GN fence wins; this significantly reinforces their proven ability over these unique obstacles.
Any notable negatives or risks:
• Big-field jumping test – fence errors can happen even to the best.
• Recent form blips for Mr Vango (pulled up last two) – fitness critical.
• Top-weight pressure on I Am Maximus, though he has carried it before.
Looking at the Grand National fences pedigree data (2013-2025) actually strengthens the AI original top three. I Am Maximus and Grangeclare West gain extra confidence from sires that have already produced multiple winners over these exact fences. Mr Vango’s dam line also ties in positively. Stellar Story remains a lively outsider but gains no additional pedigree support from Manychesters . My predicted order and reasoning stand firm.
